Model diagnostics

The assumptions behind Poisson regression are similar to the ones we have for other types of generalised linear models. In addition, we also assume that there is no overdispersion or zero inflation.

More information
help poisson postestimation

Checklist

Count outcomeThe y-variable has to be a count.
Independence of errorsData should be independent, i.e. not derived from any dependent samples design, e.g. before-after measurements/paired samples.
Correct model specificationYour model should be correctly specified. This means that the x-variables that are included should be meaningful and contribute to the model. No important (confounding) variables should be omitted (often referred to as omitted variable bias).
No multicollinearityMulticollinearity may occur when two or more x-variables that are included simultaneously in the model are strongly correlated with each another. Actually, this does not violate the assumptions, but is does create greater standard errors which makes it harder to reject the null hypothesis.
No overdispersionThe mean should be equivalent to the variance.
No zero inflationThe difference between observed zeros and predicted zeros is small.

Types of model diagnostics

Link testAssess model specification
Correlation matrixCheck for multicollinearity
Deviance goodness-of-fit test and Pearson goodness-of-fit testAssess model fit (no overdispersion or zero inflation)